Emmys: Drama Series – Netflix Hopes for ‘The Crown’ and ‘3 Body Problem’ Double Dip

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series

3 BODY PROBLEM (aka THREE BODY PROBLEM), from left: John Bradley, Jess Hong (Season 1, ep. 102, aired March 21, 2024). photo: ©Netflix / Courtesy Everett Collection

Weekly Commentary (Updated May 2, 2024): Netflix is vying for multiple nominations in the drama series category, with the final season of “The Crown” and “3 Body Problem,” the latter of which is a new series by the creators of “Game of Thrones.” Both shows could have a passionate fanbase that pulls them into the lineup.

Prime Video is aggressively campaigning for “Fallout,” based on the popular video game series, aiming for numerous nominations, including outstanding drama series. Historically, Amazon has only garnered one drama series nomination for the second season of “The Boys” in 2021. Amazon hopes to secure a second nomination this year and potentially a third with Donald Glover’s thrilling “Mr. & Mrs. Smith.”

AMC’s six-episode spinoff “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” is hoping for overdue Emmy love, despite the change in its category planned classification. It was created by Scott M. Gimple, Danai Gurira, and Andrew Lincoln and aimed at the outstanding limited or anthology series category. However, due to its recurring characters, it must compete in the drama series category instead, where it faces immense competition. Although the TV Academy has historically overlooked the show, AMC is optimistic about its chances for recognition this year.

Emmy submissions are due Thursday, May 9. The eligibility deadline for all series concluding their runs is May 31. The nominations-voting-round is open from June 13 to June 24.

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
Series

1
“The Crown” (Netflix)

2
“The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

3
“Fallout” (Prime Video)

4
“The Gilded Age” (Max)

5
“The Curse” (Showtime)

6
“3 Body Problem” (Netflix)

7
“Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)

8
“Loki” (Disney+)

Next in Line

Rank
Series

9
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

10
“Ahsoka” (Disney+)

11
“Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)

12
“For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)

13
“Justified: City Primeval” (FX)

14
“Sugar” (Apple TV+)

15
“Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)

Also In Contention

Rank
Series

16
“The New Look” (Apple TV+)

17
“Dark Winds” (AMC)

18
“Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

19
“One Piece” (Netflix)

20
“Law & Order: SVU” (NBC)

21
“Billions” (Showtime)

22
“Hijack” (Apple TV+)

23
“The Green Veil” (The Network)

24
“The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)

25
“Tokyo Vice” (Max)

Eligible Titles (Drama Series)

Eligible Titles (Drama Series)

**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.

“9-1-1” (ABC)
“The Good Doctor” (ABC)
“Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)
“The Rookie” (ABC)
“Station 19” (ABC)
“Will Trent” (ABC)
“Dark Winds” (AMC)
“Parish” (AMC)
“The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)
“The Walking Dead: Dead City” (AMC)
“The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)
“The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
“The Changeling” (Apple TV+)
“Constellation” (Apple TV+)
“Foundation” (Apple TV+)
“Hijack” (Apple TV+)
“Invasion” (Apple TV+)
“For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
“The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
“The New Look” (Apple TV+)
“Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
“Silo” (Apple TV+)
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
“Sugar” (Apple TV+)
“Swagger” (Apple TV+)
“Doctor Who” (BBC One)
“All the Queen’s Men” (BET+)
“Average Joe” (BET)
“Blue Bloods” (CBS)
“CSI: Vegas” (CBS)
“Elsbeth” (CBS)
“The Equalizer” (CBS)
“FBI” (CBS)
“FBI: International” (CBS)
“FBI: Most Wanted” (CBS)
“Fire Country” (CBS)
“Magnum P.I.” (CBS)
“NCIS” (CBS)
“NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)
“NCIS: Sydney” (CBS)
“S.W.A.T.” (CBS)
“Tracker” (CBS)
“All American” (The CW)
“Sullivan’s Crossing” (The CW)
“Superman & Lois” (The CW)
“Titans” (The CW)
“Walker” (The CW)
“Walker: Independence” (The CW)
“Ahsoka” (Disney+)
“Loki” (Disney+)
“Alert: Missing Persons Unit” (Fox)
“DOC” (Fox)
“Rescue: HI-Surf” (Fox)
“Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
“Mayans M.C.” (FX)
“Snowfall” (FX)
“Good Trouble” (Freeform)
“Alex Rider” (Freevee)
“Almost Paradise” (Freevee)
“Bosch: Legacy” (Freevee)
“The Way Home” (Hallmark)
“Black Cake” (Hulu)
“The Gilded Age” (Max)
“The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
“The Tourist” (Max)
“Tokyo Vice” (Max)
“Warrior” (Max)
“Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
“Godfather of Harlem” (MGM+)
“Chicago Fire” (NBC)
“Chicago Med” (NBC)
“Chicago P.D.” (NBC)
“Found” (NBC)
“The Irrational” (NBC)
“Law & Order” (NBC)
“Law & Order: Organized Crime” (NBC)
“Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)
“New Amsterdam” (NBC)
“Quantum Leap” (NBC)
“3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
“Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
“The Crown” (Netflix)
“Dead Boy Detectives” (Netflix)
“The Lincoln Lawyer” (Netflix)
“Lupin” (Netflix)
“One Piece” (Netflix)
“The Witcher” (Netflix)
“The Green Veil” (The Network)
“Halo” (Paramount+)
“Joe Pickett” (Paramount+)
“Sexy Beast” (Paramount+)
“Sky Med” (Paramount+)
“Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
“Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
“Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
“Dr. Death” (Peacock)
“American Rust Broken Justice” (Prime Video)
“The Baxters” (Prime Video)
“Beacon 23” (Prime Video)
“Belgravia: The Next Chapter” (Prime Video)
“Billy the Kid” (Prime Video)
“Fallout” (Prime Video)
“Harlan Coben’s Shelter” (Prime Video)
“Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)
“Outer Range” (Prime Video)
“Reacher” (Prime Video)
“The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
“Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
“The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
“With Love” (Prime Video)
“Billions” Showtime)
“The Chi” (Showtime)
“The Curse” (Showtime)
“The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
“BMF” (Starz)
“Hightown” (Starz)
“Outlander” (Starz)
“Power Book IV: Force” (Starz)
“Power Book III: Raising Kanan” (Starz)
“Chucky” (Syfy)

More Information (Drama)

More Information (Drama)

2023 category winner: “Succession” (HBO) — Season 4 — Jesse Armstrong, Adam McKay, Will Ferrell, Frank Rich, Kevin Messick, Mark Mylod, Jane Tranter, Tony Roche, Scott Ferguson, Jon Brown, Lucy Prebble and Will Tracy, executive producers; Dara Schnapper, Georgia Pritchett and Ted Cohen, co-executive producers; Susan Soon He Stanton, supervising producer; Gabrielle Mahon, produced by; Francesca Gardiner, consulting producer

2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
Feb. 29: Submissions open
May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
August 15: Final-round voting begins.
August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

Emmy Awards Predictions

Drama
Comedy
Limited/Movie

Drama Series
Comedy Series
Limited or Anthology Series

Lead Actor (Drama)
Lead Actor (Comedy)
Lead Actor (Limited, Movie)

Lead Actress (Drama)
Lead Actress (Comedy)
Lead Actress (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actor (Drama)
Supporting Actor (Comedy)
Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actress (Drama)
Supporting Actress (Comedy)
Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie)

Directing (Drama)
Directing (Comedy)
Directing (Limited, Movie)

Writing (Drama)
Writing (Comedy)
Writing (Limited, Movie)

Guest Actor (Drama)
Guest Actor (Comedy)
Television Movie

Guest Actress (Drama)
Guest Actress (Comedy)
Casting (Limited, Movie)

Casting (Drama)
Casting (Comedy)

Other Awards Predictions

Talk Series
Reality Competition Program
Animated Program

Scripted Variety
Game Show
Character Voice-Over Performance

Variety Special (Live)
Host for a Reality or Competition Program
Narrator

Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
Structured Reality
Documentary (Series)

Directing (Series, Special)
Unstructured Reality
Documentary (Special)

Writing (Series, Special)
Directing (Reality Program)
Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special)

Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision)
Main Title Design
Writing (Nonfiction)

Short Form Series
Short Form (Actor/Actress)
Exceptional Merit

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.